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Reuters opinion polls show that 94% of economists said that the tariffs of US President-elect Trump will have a negative or some negative impact on the Japanese economy; 51 of 52 economists said that the Bank of Japan will raise interest rates to at least 0.50% before the end of March; 58% of analysts said that the Bank of Japan will keep the benchmark interest rate unchanged at 0.25% in December, compared with 44% in November; The salary increase in Japan's labor negotiations in the next fiscal year is 4.7%, which is lower than the median forecast of 5.1% in this fiscal year.The strength of the policy is in line with expectations. The New Year's market may have started, and the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300ETF South (159925) can be used as a key layout. On December 13th, as of midday, the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300ETF South (159925) fell by 2%, with a turnover of 115 million yuan. The constituent stocks are mixed, and in terms of rising, Yangtze Power leads the rise; In terms of decline, Zijin Mining led the decline. In the news, from December 11th to 12th, the Central Economic Work Conference was held in Beijing, which made a systematic plan for next year's economic work. Regarding the highlights of the meeting, CITIC Jiantou said that the meeting of the Central Economic Work Conference continued the main tone of the Politburo meeting on Monday, and made systematic arrangements for economic work next year. Next year's policy will focus on expanding domestic demand and AI+ in an all-round way, and the policy strength and direction are in line with our expectations. With the support of policy expectation and liquidity, the current new year's market has been launched, and it is expected that the market will continue to show the characteristics of shock upward. Focus on industries: non-bank finance, real estate chain, consumer electronics, machinery, construction, building materials, steel, social services, catering chain, etc. Topics of concern: duality and innovation, supply-side optimization, new quality productivity, market value management of state-owned enterprises. You can use the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300ETF South (159925) to lay out the core assets with one click.CICC: Depleting inventories to eliminate excess supply is still the main direction. The Central Economic Work Conference was held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. In terms of real estate, the meeting will "continue to push the real estate market to stop falling and stabilize" as the primary task of risk prevention. The research department of CICC believes that destocking to eliminate excess supply is still the main direction. First, control the supply of new land; second, optimize the supply structure of existing land and commercial housing; it is expected that the supply optimization policies such as land ticket, land exchange and commercial housing reform will be further promoted; third, dispose of existing commercial housing; it is expected that the efforts to store unsold commercial housing and existing second-hand housing for affordable housing will be increased; fourth, intensify the implementation of the renovation of urban villages and dilapidated houses.

State Power Investment Corporation set up an economic and technological research and consulting company with AI software development business. According to the enterprise search APP, recently, State Power Investment Corporation Economic and Technological Research and Consulting Co., Ltd. was established, with the legal representative of He Yongjian and the registered capital of 10 million yuan. Its business scope includes: artificial intelligence application software development; Information system integration service; Industrial Internet data service; Social and economic consulting services, etc. Enterprise survey shows that the company is wholly owned by State Power Investment Group Co., Ltd.Ralph Lauren's trademark infringement case was a foregone conclusion at the end of 8 years, and the infringer paid a maximum of 20 million yuan. Ralph Lauren's trademark infringement dispute case, which lasted for nearly 8 years, finally came to a foregone conclusion. Shanghai Intellectual Property Court recently made a first-instance civil judgment on a series of trademark infringement cases in which Polo/Lauren Co., Ltd., Ralph Lauren Asia Pacific Co., Ltd. and Ralph Lauren Trading (Shanghai) Co., Ltd. jointly sued Shanghai Ruifa Clothing Co., Ltd., Qingyuan Huahao Zhibai Leather Clothing Products Co., Ltd., Guangzhou Huahao Industry Co., Ltd. and luoding city Yasi Clothing Co., Ltd. The court ruled that the defendant's use of "Polo", "Polo Sport", "Polo Gear" and "polo sport" constituted trademark infringement, and must immediately stop all infringement activities, including the use of similar trademarks and the sale of goods with similar trademarks, and pay a total of 20 million yuan in compensation. Compared with the previous administrative judgment that the infringing trademark is invalid, the significance of this civil judgment is that it has mandatory force to require the shops and other channels suspected of infringement to stop operating, and the total compensation of 20 million yuan is far higher than the legal compensation amount of 5 million yuan stipulated in the trademark law, which is one of the cases that have obtained the highest compensation in China's trademark infringement cases. (Interface News)"Black Myth: Wukong" won the TGA2024 Player's Voice Award.

Lin Yifu: Four advantages empower China's economy and drive global development. The Central Economic Work Conference was held in Beijing on December 11th and 12th. It was pointed out that in 2025, more active and promising macro policies will be implemented to expand domestic demand and promote the integrated development of scientific and technological innovation and industrial innovation. Lin Yifu, president of Peking University New jiegou Research Institute, said in an interview that the advantages of talent, market, supply chain and system make China continuously competitive, and China will continue to be the driving force of global economic growth. （CGTN）CICC: Gradually filling the gap between inflation and demand will be the direction of economic work next year. The Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. The research department of CICC believes that for the economic goal of next year, after "maintaining stable economic growth", the meeting proposed to "maintain overall stability in employment and prices" and put forward "focusing on goal guidance and striving to achieve an optimal combination of stable growth, stable employment and reasonable price recovery". This is the first time in the past 15 years that "stabilizing prices" has been taken as the goal of annual economic work during the period of low prices. The research department of CICC believes that gradually bridging the inflation gap and demand gap will be the direction of economic work next year.Zhaochi Co., Ltd. invested in the business of optical communication equipment in the newly established technology company. According to the enterprise investigation APP, recently, Shanghai Jiashibai Technology Co., Ltd. was established, with the legal representative of Gu Wei and the registered capital of 20 million yuan. Its business scope includes: optical communication equipment manufacturing; Sales of optical communication equipment; Manufacturing of digital video monitoring system; Digital video monitoring system sales, etc. Enterprise survey shows that the company is wholly owned by Shenzhen Zhaochi Digital Technology Co., Ltd., a subsidiary of Zhaochi Co., Ltd.